Markets/Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 02:20 AM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES

48%NO

Volume 24h

$2.6M

Liquidity

$947K

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Current

53% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 53%99%

Buy YES@ 53¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 48¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665981

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