ForecastMind
Markets/Thunder vs. 76ers
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Thunder vs. 76ers

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

91%YES
10%NO

Volume 24h

$422K

Liquidity

$220K

Bid / Ask

90% / 91%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

91%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

90% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

91% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 91%99%
Buy YES@ 91¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly5.3%
½ Kelly2.6%
Buy NO@ 9¢

-5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 5.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. 76ers" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $422K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Thunder vs. 76ers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1627632