ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5
Share on X

Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$2

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

61% YES (+4.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 49¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691534