ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
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Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

46% / 50%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-9.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: -10.5pp

55% → 44%

Mar 26, 2026

Current

44% YES (-10.5pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1720643