ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
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Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

71%YES
30%NO

Volume 24h

$64K

Liquidity

$6K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $64K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1921889

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Clippers: 100%, Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5: 100%, Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+48.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +34.0pp

66% → 100%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

100% YES (+34.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 71%99%
Buy YES@ 71¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.7%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 30¢

-1.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this