ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
Share on X

Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
39%NO

Volume 24h

$31K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

53% / 80%

Spread

27.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 27.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920203

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5: 100%, Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+7.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Trough probability

43% YES — lowest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Apr 8, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

59%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +15.5pp

44% → 59%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

59% YES (+15.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 39¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this