ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
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Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
45%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$23K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1921066

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Clippers: 100%, Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5: 100%, Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+56.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

59%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +48.0pp

52% → 100%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

100% YES (+48.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 44¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this