Thunder vs. Lakers
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$405K
Liquidity
$1.1M
Bid / Ask
93% / 94%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
94%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Lakers" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $405K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Thunder vs. Lakers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1816008
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Lakers: 94%, Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5: 56%, Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5: 51%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
94% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
94% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-7.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this