Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5
Closed March 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$628K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
56% / 96%
Spread
40.00pp
Expert Signal
92%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Thunder vs. Wizards
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: +33.5pp
52% → 86%
Mar 21, 2026
Current
86% YES (+33.5pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $628K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 92%. The bid-ask spread is 40.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1671349
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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