ForecastMind
Markets/Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

75%YES
26%NO

Volume 24h

$537K

Liquidity

$208K

Bid / Ask

73% / 74%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

74%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Full event →
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
75%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5
50%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5
48%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

72% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

74% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 75%99%
Buy YES@ 75¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.0%
½ Kelly1.0%
Buy NO@ 26¢

-2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Mavericks" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $537K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Timberwolves vs. Mavericks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704247

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.