Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
Closed April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1824065
This event has 21 active outcome markets. Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5: 100%, Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5: 100%, Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5: 100%.
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
71%
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: +33.0pp
38% → 71%
Apr 3, 2026
Peak probability
71% YES — highest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Current
51% YES (-20.5pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this