ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$306K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

93% / 98%

Spread

5.40pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.2pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+44.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +46.5pp

49% → 96%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

96% YES (+46.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 2¢
Edge

+11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO+11.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $306K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 5.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1685469