ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
8%NO

Volume 24h

$137K

Liquidity

$49K

Bid / Ask

91% / 93%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+45.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

90%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +46.5pp

44% → 90%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

90% YES (+46.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly6.7%
½ Kelly3.3%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 6.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $137K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677301