ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

85%YES
16%NO

Volume 24h

$146K

Liquidity

$400

Bid / Ask

84% / 94%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

85%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+41.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

85%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +43.0pp

42% → 85%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

85% YES (+43.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 85%99%
Buy YES@ 85¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.2%
½ Kelly1.6%
Buy NO@ 16¢

-3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $146K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677949