ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

12%YES
88%NO

Volume 24h

$3.0M

Liquidity

$122K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1829491

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 12%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5: 0%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~88%.

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarketanchor
kalshi_sports

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-40.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -21.4pp

22% → 0%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 12%99%
Buy YES@ 12¢
Edge

+3.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 88¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+3.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this