ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

11%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$50K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

11%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $50K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1918166

Outcome Markets13 markets

This event has 13 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5: 11%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5: 3%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~70%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Trough probability

46% YES — lowest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 8, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

46%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

54% → 46%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

47% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 11%99%
Buy YES@ 11¢
Edge

+4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 90¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+4.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this