ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$57K

Liquidity

$5K

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $57K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1917489

Outcome Markets13 markets

This event has 13 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5: 11%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5: 3%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~70%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Trough probability

37% YES — lowest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -9.0pp

46% → 37%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

42% YES (+5.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this