ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$84K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+42.9pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $84K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1914006

Outcome Markets13 markets

This event has 13 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5: 11%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5: 3%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~70%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-12.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Biggest move: -7.5pp

34% → 27%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

27% YES (-7.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-28.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly28.6%
½ Kelly14.3%
Buy NO+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 28.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this