ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

13%YES
88%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$431

Bid / Ask

0% / 25%

Spread

24.60pp

Expert Signal

13%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 24.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1914007

Outcome Markets13 markets

This event has 13 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 13%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5: 11%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~61%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-9.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

57%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -24.5pp

57% → 33%

Apr 9, 2026

Peak probability

57% YES — highest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Current

33% YES (-24.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 13%99%
Buy YES@ 13¢
Edge

+4.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 88¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+4.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this