ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$65K

Liquidity

$20K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+33.3pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $65K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1913346

Outcome Markets13 markets

This event has 13 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5: 11%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5: 3%, Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~70%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

36% → 28%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

26% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+33.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 99¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+33.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this