Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5
Closed March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$17
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Trough probability
38% YES — lowest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
38%
Mar 23, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
53%
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +14.5pp
38% → 53%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
53% YES (+14.5pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688061
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