Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Market Price
FM Estimate
99%low confidence · 2 signals
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
✦ Unlock with ProWikipedia Attention
2 deadline markets. Combined YES = 195% — 95pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
by June 30th
Trump announces end of military operations against I
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.7M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1517836