ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5
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UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$32

Bid / Ask

2% / 70%

Spread

68.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-11.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Biggest move: -11.5pp

48% → 36%

Mar 21, 2026

Current

36% YES (-11.5pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 68.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1633865