US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paul
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$699K
Liquidity
$452K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paul" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $699K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paul." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1796902
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Adolfo Vallejo vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U: 100%, US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Val: 0%.
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs To
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
30% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -28.4pp
28% → 0%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this