US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Closes April 10, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced driven by ISR positive AGR → -1.0pp avg (n=64) (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$642K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $642K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823991
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: -8.9pp
9% → 0%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this