Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Bid / Ask
13% / 14%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: +17.0pp
14% → 31%
Mar 22, 2026
Peak probability
31% YES — highest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Current
14% YES (-16.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4.4M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1666743
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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