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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5

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Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES

55%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$83

Bid / Ask

40% / 50%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-9.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

44% YES (-4.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 45%99%

Buy YES@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688535

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