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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
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Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3

Bid / Ask

6% / 98%

Spread

92.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5

Full event →
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
53%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5
52%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5
26%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

43% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 48¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 92.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1785630

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.