ForecastMind
⊘

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5
Share on X

Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$39

Bid / Ask

2% / 88%

Spread

86.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+24.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

21% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +20.0pp

26% → 46%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

46% YES (+20.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 45%99%
Buy YES@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 86.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786780

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.