ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Clippers
Share on X

Warriors vs. Clippers

Closed April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$2.9M

Liquidity

$82K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Clippers" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.9M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Warriors vs. Clippers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891047

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5: 53%, Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5: 53%, Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5: 52%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Trough probability

17% YES — lowest in period

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

54%

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: -20.0pp

40% → 20%

Apr 8, 2026

Current

48% YES (-6.0pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢
Edge

+9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+9.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this