ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
Share on X

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Closed April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$94

Bid / Ask

18% / 61%

Spread

43.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 43.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1944766

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5: 56%, Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5: 55%, Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5: 35%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-6.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Apr 12, 2026

Trough probability

46% YES — lowest in period

Apr 13, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

46%

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

55% → 46%

Apr 13, 2026

Current

48% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 66¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this