Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Warriors vs. Kings
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.5M
Liquidity
$58K
Bid / Ask
89% / 90%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
70%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Kings" at 70% YES / 30% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.5M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Warriors vs. Kings." Prediction market snapshot: YES 70%, NO 30%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861194
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 70%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: -30.0pp
81% → 51%
Apr 11, 2026
Peak probability
85% YES — highest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Current
51% YES (-31.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this