ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
Share on X

Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$502K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

51% / 58%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $502K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933835

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 73%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

59%

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +10.5pp

49% → 59%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

59% YES (+10.5pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this