Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$47K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
48% / 53%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $47K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933833
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 73%.
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
45% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
56%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +10.0pp
47% → 56%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
56% YES (+10.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this