Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Warriors vs. Nuggets
Closed March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.6M
Liquidity
$732K
Bid / Ask
17% / 18%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Warriors vs. Nuggets
9 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
17% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Nuggets" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Warriors vs. Nuggets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691456
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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