ForecastMind
Markets/Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Share on X

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Closes April 19, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
30%FIS
3ppvs market 33%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -2.7pp below current market price; market at 32% may be overpriced with macro signals showing GBP/USD +0.257 ↑, VIX -1.3% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroGBP/USD +0.257 ↑, VIX -1.3% ↓
-2.7pp
Pre-computed · refreshes every 6h06:50 PM

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$323K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $323K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890658

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+78.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Apr 12, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Apr 12, 2026

Biggest move: +59.5pp

41% → 100%

Apr 12, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 12, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this