Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Wild vs. Stars
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$847K
Liquidity
$17K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Wild vs. Stars" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $847K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Wild vs. Stars." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576118
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5: 100%, Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5: 100%, Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5: 100%.
Wild vs. Stars
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
65%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +18.5pp
47% → 65%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
72% YES (+6.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this