ForecastMind
Markets/Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Share on X

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Closes June 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

4%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$34K

Bid / Ask

3% / 5%

Spread

1.60pp

Expert Signal

4%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on June 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087514

Outcome Markets40 markets

This event has 40 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz: 41%, Jannik Sinner: 34%, Alexander Zverev: 4%.

Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

4%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.8pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Current

4% YES (+0.8pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 4%99%
Buy YES@ 4¢

-7.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 96¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly7.0%
½ Kelly3.5%
Buy NO+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 7.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this