Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$568K
Liquidity
$1.3M
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $568K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1745425
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Aston Villa FC: 100%, Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5): 100%, Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5): 0%.
Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
36% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
69%
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +33.0pp
36% → 69%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this