Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Closes May 31, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$419K
Liquidity
$327K
Bid / Ask
4% / 4%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2025
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Feb 21, 2026
Current
4% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $419K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/566146
Correlated Markets
Explore all →Will Trump visit China by April 30?
↓ -1.00Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026
↓ -1.00Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
↑ 1.00Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.