Markets/Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES

95%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

4% / 6%

Spread

1.10pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

2% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 5%99%

Buy YES@ 5¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%

½ Kelly0.0%

Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? " at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? ." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1429747

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