Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$39K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886025
This event has 22 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?: 82%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 65%, Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?: 44%.
Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this