Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing ETH +0.3% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$40K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886015
This event has 22 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?: 82%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 65%, Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?: 44%.
Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
12% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this