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Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?
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Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

76%YES
24%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$31K

Expert Signal

91%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786331

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+35.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

65% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +16.0pp

84% → 100%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 76%99%
Buy YES@ 76¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 24¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this