Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?
Market Price
The substantial 74 percentage point price drop in the "Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?" market, from 74% to 1% in one day, signifies a significant reassessment of downside risk for Bitcoin by traders. This shift is occurring as Bitcoin itself shows marginal upward momentum, indicating a detachment from expectations of a near-term substantial price decline to that specific $77,000 level by early May.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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17 deadline markets. Combined YES = 131% — 31pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?
Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50pp. The market closes on May 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2136978