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Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?
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Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?

Market Price

5%YES
95%NO

FM Estimate

12%

Gap Signal

Underpriced
6.2pp
Vol 24h$35K
Liquidity$8K
Bid / Ask6% / 6%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesMay 2, 2026
Macro fundamentals+6.2pp

low confidence · 1 signals

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets36 markets

36 deadline markets. Combined YES = 1926% — 1826pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?

price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2

100%
price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?

price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4

100%

Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?

Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1

5%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.8pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-01). "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2129656