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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?
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Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

16%YES
84%NO

Volume 24h

$117K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

16% / 18%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $117K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743551

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5: 87%, Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5: 59%, Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: Both Teams : 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

25% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 16%99%
Buy YES@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this