Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$398K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $398K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743550
This event has 12 active outcome markets. Italy: 80%, Sweden: 63%, Türkiye: 48%.
Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
12% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
14% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this