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Markets/Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
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Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$26K
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.30pp
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Why this mattersAI-synthesized

This prediction market, currently priced at 1%, holds relevance due to Bridget Phillipson's position as a prominent figure within the UK Labour Party, a party with a significant mandate and polling strength. The market's low valuation reflects a low probability assigned by traders to her becoming Prime Minister by 2026, a perception that could shift based on evolving political dynamics.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets33 markets

33 deadline markets. Combined YES = 189% — 89pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom

no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appo

34%
Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of U

Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of United K

26%

Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister

Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the

1%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.3pp
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket1%anchor
Kalshi

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.30pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1343465