Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$807
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: -37.3pp
40% → 2%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $807 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692162
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Venue Divergence
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